Will Kosovo, which has failed to elect a president, head to the polls for a third time?
Bulgaria, which has repeatedly called early elections in the Balkans but failed to secure a result from the ballot boxes, now faces a rival from the region. Kosovo’s voters were called to the polls twice last year, in February and December. I had written that the unstoppable rise of “Vetevendosje” had come to an end when the ruling party of Kosovo’s Prime Minister Albin Kurti—whose intransigent stance had exasperated the majority of his counterparts, particularly European Union officials—suffered a significant drop in votes in February 2025; I was wrong. Kosovo spent the entire year of 2025 unable to form a government. It took months even to elect a Speaker of Parliament. Ultimately, early elections were held in December. This time, “Vetevendosje” once again surpassed 50 per cent, managing to secure 57 MPs in the 120-seat Assembly (turnout remained below 50 per cent). The new government led by Prime Minister Kurti began its four-year term in January 2026, and just as we were hoping for the best, the country’s agenda was shaken once again in March by the prospect of early elections.
The Kosovo Parliament was unable to hold an election due to a lack of a quorum
The term of office of Kosovo’s well-respected lawyer and President, Vjosa Osmani, is due to end on 5 April. The Parliament, which convened on 5 March, failed to elect a president as expected. This was because Prime Minister Kurti not only refused to support Vjosa Osmani for a second term but also chose to field two candidates from his own party without deeming it necessary to consult with the opposition.
As the Constitution requires at least 80 MPs to take part in the vote, the opposition MPs’ failure to attend the session meant that the ‘quorum’ could not be reached, thereby stalling the election of the head of state and triggering a crisis (The situation in Kosovo was reminiscent of the “367 crisis” defended by Chief Prosecutor Sabih Kanadoğlu during the presidential elections in the Turkish Grand National Assembly in 2007).
The Constitutional Court granted the Parliament additional time
Following these developments, President Osmani dissolved Parliament and called for early elections. In response, Prime Minister Albin Kurti challenged the decision before the Constitutional Court and secured its annulment. The High Court postponed the dissolution decision by one month, granting Parliament additional time. Albin Kurti is now obliged to return to the negotiating table with the opposition parties and reach an agreement on a candidate they will consent to. Given that the Prime Minister, who holds 57 seats and formed a government with 66 votes in favour, must also take into account that the country remained without a government for the past year, I assume he will not squander this parliamentary arithmetic. The opposition PDK has 23 MPs, whilst the LDK has 15. Securing the consent of one of them would reach the critical figure of 80. My view is that, apart from Vetevendosje’s current two candidates, an agreement will be reached on either Vjosa Osmani or a new candidate put forward or supported by the opposition. Should no agreement be reached, early election dates will be announced in accordance with the constitution, which would mean the ‘Bulgarian Scenario’ would come into play in Kosovo.
We expect development, not conflict, from Kosovo
During the Yugoslav Socialist Federal Republic (YSFR) era, Kosovo was the most underdeveloped region of the federal state. Since gaining independence in 2008, this negative situation has not yet changed in the young republic. Eighteen years on, it is no longer realistic to blame Belgrade for this underdevelopment. Ninety-two per cent of the country’s 1.6 million population are of Albanian origin. In short, it cannot be claimed that deep ethnic fault lines, of the sort we have seen in Bosnia and Herzegovina or North Macedonia, are hindering development.
Is it really so difficult for the Kosovo Administration to win over 90,000 Serb citizens?
There are around 90,000 Serbs living in Kosovo, 50,000 of whom are settled in North Mitrovica, which borders Serbia. Due to the polarisation between Belgrade and Pristina, Serbian citizens of Kosovo prefer to continue living as if they were citizens of Serbia. By rejecting these habits and behaviours, the Kosovo administration is resorting to harsh measures, coming into conflict with its minority citizens and pushing them into Belgrade’s embrace. Constant pressure on the few municipalities where the Serb population is in the majority is leading to tensions. In short, Albin Kurti’s administration does not know how to win over the hearts of the Serb minority, numbering around 90,000, nor does it show any intention of doing so.For the first time, local elections were held in the Serb-majority region without a boycott by the minority, and mayors of Serb origin were able to take office in four towns by the end of 2025. This outcome represented a positive development. We have become accustomed to hearing mostly negative news from Kosovo.
Kosovo has no alternative to the EU
With Bosnia and Herzegovina being declared an EU candidate country—driven by political motives and somewhat under duress—there is now no country left in the Balkans other than Kosovo that is not a candidate. It is predicted that Montenegro will conclude its accession negotiations and become a full member within a few years. Does Kosovo have any reasonable alternatives to EU membership? If the aim is civilisation, then no. It must be borne in mind that if Serbia becomes an EU member before Kosovo, it will permanently veto this country, which it refuses to recognise. As five EU member states still do not recognise Kosovo, Pristina’s path is unfortunately blocked. Looking at the bigger picture, we see that it is an absolute necessity for the Kosovo administration to press ahead on the path to the EU with all its efforts and in good faith.
I am not optimistic about Kosovo’s future
However, we have witnessed that the young republic led by Albin Kurti has, in recent years, sought to strain rather than improve relations with Brussels. Albin Kurti, who described the “Association of Serbian Municipalities” – which regulates how the four Serb-majority municipalities within Kosovo’s borders can receive transparent support from Serbia without violating local laws – as “Vučić’s 5th Arm’—is currently regarded by EU and UN circles as the party sabotaging the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue. In short, I am not optimistic about the future of Kosovo under Albin Kurti’s administration, which has failed to deliver development and prosperity at home, disregards opposition parties, and has lost the trust of EU circles abroad, offering no cause for hope.
We are living in times when Trump and a few other leaders are setting the world ablaze.
On the other hand, Aleksandar Vučić bears as much responsibility as Albin Kurti for the stumbling of the Belgrade-Pristina dialogue. The Vučić administration has fallen out of favour with the EU due to widespread corruption, repression of the opposition and students, regulations undermining judicial independence, and its closeness to Putin. Serbia, which is heading in the wrong direction, is now viewed as an authoritarian democracy. In the spring of 2026, Kosovar politicians must take into account that the world is not proceeding as normal, that global balances are being shaken, that under Trump’s leadership our world is hurtling towards crises, that the rules-based international order is changing, and that rival Serbia is drifting further away from democracy. From this perspective, with the presidential elections as an opportunity, the time has come for the government and the opposition to join hands and conduct an exceptional assessment of the country’s future.
As a friend of Kosovo, I have some advice to offer
In addition to the Kosovo–Turkey football match serving as proof of the friendship and brotherhood between our nations, and bearing in mind that we were attacked in Belgrade on 17 February 2008 because of Kosovo, I believe I am entitled to offer some advice to Kosovar politicians: – Relations with Serbia must no longer hinder the Kosovar people’s path to prosperity within the framework of democracy and the rule of law.
– EU membership must be regarded as the top priority, despite Belgrade’s stance.
-The aim should be to become the fastest-developing country in the Balkans, rather than the most underdeveloped.
– Prime Minister Kurti should direct his energy towards new objectives, such as transforming Kosovo into a hub of attraction, attracting more foreign investment than Serbia, surpassing Belgrade in per capita national income, and standing out in the Balkans in terms of democracy and the rule of law.
Otherwise, the young republic will continue to be the most backward country in the Balkans, holding early elections every six months like Bulgaria, constantly struggling with political instability, and thus wasting its energy.
